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Monday 2 July 2007

Empire of Debt

This is the first my book reviews which I had planned to write sometimes back but due to various reasons have not gotten to writing it till now.


The first book I will be reviewing is titled the Empire of Debt ( The rise of an Epic Financial Crisis) It is a book which is co-written by William Bonner and Addison Wiggin. William Bonner is the president and CEO of Agora Inc which is a financial newsletter company and Addison is the Editorial Director and publisher of the Daily Reckoning.

The below is the screenshot of the cover of the book.

Anyway, I do not know who is these two persons to be honest. I picked up this book to read was due to the interesting title and also the first chapter was able to capture my attention.


This book is primarily about the US economy in the past 100 years and a look into the future based on the policy and decisions that had been made over the last 20 years. It is quite an insightful book. It starts from talking about the present US economy. It looks at the decisions made in the early years which lead to the current US economy. In the opinion of the writers, the current US economy is run like an empire.

The main reason for their viewpoint is listed below

Before the world war started in the first half of the 20th century, US was more inward looking and more focus on building new things and producing new stuffs. However after World War 2, US took more interest in foreign policy and this interest got more intensified during the Cold war. After the fall of the Soviet Union, US became the only super power left and started to impose themselves on a number of other countries affair. Something similar to how the Roman grow their empire in the past. Except the Roman conquered the other countries whereas US is trying to control the other countries through policy, money and diplomacy.

In the book, they talked about how the present US economy is running close to a collapse.

  1. They talk about the lack of productive things coming out of the US. Almost everything that is consumed in the US are made in Asia.
  2. About the high mortgage of property in US to generate more cash for current consumption but it place a burden on the next generation. The key assumption is that property price will not fall. However if you think from an economics point of view, the concept of ever raising property price is never true. This is because a property is only as valuable as what the market demand is. It will reach a point when the prices are too high till there is much less demand which will cause the prices of property to fall. Then it will cause those people that has placed a mortgage to be unable to afford the property and their gamble fail. This will cause bad debt and people to go bankrupt which will affect consumption. This will be the start of a vicious cycle.
  3. There is also a low rate of saving in the US which means there is very little for people to fallback when the economy go pear-shaped.
  4. The US is borrowing a lot of money to fund its current consumption and the lenders are the Asian country. A good example would be Japan and China. They sell so much things to the US and then they accept US treasury bonds which is like the US owing money to these countries.

In my opinion, this is quite an interesting read as some of the points raised in the book will make you think about the current situation and evaluate the point raised in the book. Overall, it is quite a well-written book which managed to capture a lot of the key points and in a way it is like an X-ray on the current US economy.

The only drawback is that the wordings are a bit small and can be quite tiring to the eyes when you read too many pages.

1 comment:

Unknown said...

Very good book review. I agree with the thesis in the book: USA is running into a financial crisis, and as a consequence Europe (and Asia) will be affected too...
Keep up the good reviews :-)
Regards, Rod